What is the margin of error for the final pew poll of election 2008?”
New Pew Poll Predicts Obama Will Win 52%-46% By Eric Kleefeld – November 2, 2008, 4:12PM A new national poll is going beyond saying Obama is ahead: It’s predicting that Obama will win by six points. The final Pew poll predicts that the outcome will be Obama 52%, McCain 46%, with the remainder split among third-party candidates. The top-line result among likely voters right now is Obama 49%, McCain 42%, with a ±2.5% margin of error. Last week, Obama had a much wider lead of 53%-38%. In an interview, Pew’s director of survey research Scott Keeter explained to us how they arrived at that 52%-46% predicted outcome. Pew performed a statistical analysis looking at the remaining undecideds on the basis of their demographics and their answers to issue questions, in order to project how they’ll vote — if they’ll vote at all, that is. “This is an unusual group of people, anybody who could get to this point in the campaign and not have made a decision,” Keeter said. “So you have to think some of
