Would Matt Williams have broken the single-season home run record?
15 The 1994 baseball season was particularly exciting, since there were a relatively large number of runs scored, and particular players had great hitting seasons. Some players appeared to have reasonable chances of exceeding the single season record of 61 home runs, and one player was close to having a .400 batting average. Unfortunately, the baseball season ended due to a strike on August 11, and fans were left to wonder what would have happened to particular batting records if a full 162 game season had been played. 16 In particular, let’s consider Matt Williams who, on August 11, had hit 43 home runs in his first 445 at-bats. If the baseball strike had not occurred, assume that Matt Williams would not be injured and would have 199 additional at-bats during the remainder of the season. (This number of at-bats is an estimated number of at-bats used by Cramer and Dewan (1995) in their simulation of the 1994 season.) Did he have a reasonable chance of hitting more than a total of 61 ho
