Why would four fifths of electorate participate in the elections?
Aren’t the published opinion polls to optimistic? I personally do not know anyone who will not vote, including the generation that has become eligible to vote since the last election. A few years ago that generation with indignation rejected any idea of getting involved in “dirty” politics. Once the authorities called the elections, the situation significantly changed. The “climate” was different. Before that, polls indicated that Kostunica had only 4 percent of support among the voters, while Slobodan Milosevic had four times more supporters. Based on the opinion polls conducted by “their” firms, among other Markplan, they concluded that no politician can compete with Milosevic. However, at the moment when Kostunica became a possible presidential candidate, his rating jumped sevenfold. That is confirmed by all polls, both “ours” and “theirs”. Why is the voter turnout important? My estimate is that if the turnout is five million, and close to five million already voted in 1990 and 1992
