Why doesn the graph of results for the same event in two different years look the same?
The data from the GCP have a “low signal to noise ratio” and one important implication is that single events cannot be interpreted reliably. There is a caveat at the end of each detailed analysis (in the formal series) that says: It is important to keep in mind that we have only a tiny statistical effect, so that it is always hard to distinguish signal from noise. This means that every “success” might be largely driven by chance, and every “null” might include a real signal overwhelmed by noise. In the long run, a real effect can be identified only by patiently accumulating replications of similar analyses. This is exactly the situation, without exception, even for monster events. The world is complex and large, and there will be numerous events and circumstances competing for a limited Global attention, so to speak. Thus, we cannot interpret the result this year (this applies to every year) as a literal picture of the effects of meditation, or Valentine’s day, or Sun eruptions, or the
