Why does the CO2 level in the atmosphere continue to rise even when emissions are leveled off?
This scenario corresponds to clicking the middle button in our simulation: “LEVEL OFF CO2 EMISSIONS.” After about 2045 emissions are no longer increasing. At that point removals are also level from year to year. But since emissions are greater than removals, each year more CO2 goes into the atmosphere than is removed. So the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere continues to rise. It’s like a bus traveling through the city with people getting on and off. Let’s say that at one stop 5 people get on the bus and 3 get off. At the next stop the same thing happens: 5 people get on and 3 get off. If this pattern continues the bus will get very crowded. The number of people getting on the bus is level: 5 at each stop. But since only three people get off there is an increase of 2 people each time the bus stops. In order to keep the crowding from getting worse, the same number of people have to get off the bus as get on. And to reduce the crowding, more people have to get off than get on. In order to
