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Why do index-based fixed-income ETFs sometimes trade at a premium to NAV during days when the fixed income markets are closed?

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Why do index-based fixed-income ETFs sometimes trade at a premium to NAV during days when the fixed income markets are closed?

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The equity and fixed income markets do not always close on the same days. Several times during the year, index-based fixed-income ETFs will trade on US equity exchanges while the fixed-income markets are closed. In addition, US bond markets may only be open for a portion of the US equity trading day. For example, during Columbus Day, although index-based fixed-income ETFs can trade on the AMEX, the US bond markets are closed. These ETFs may trade at a discount or premium based on investor anticipation of bond appreciation the next trading day.This phenomenon is similar to observed discounts/premiums in equity index futures before trading in the US equity markets begins. The futures may trade at a discount or premium based on investor anticipation of index appreciation when the equity markets open for trading.

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The equity and fixed income markets do not always close on the same days. Several times during the year, index-based fixed-income ETFs will trade on US equity exchanges while the fixed-income markets are closed. In addition, US bond markets may only be open for a portion of the US equity trading day. For example, during Columbus Day, although index-based fixed-income ETFs can trade on the AMEX, the US bond markets are closed. These ETFs may trade at a discount or premium based on investor anticipation of bond appreciation the next trading day. This phenomenon is similar to observed discounts/premiums in equity index futures before trading in the US equity markets begins. The futures may trade at a discount or premium based on investor anticipation of index appreciation when the equity markets open for trading.

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