Why can’t we just use the real flights that STATFOR has forecasted on ODs rather than using this random component at the OD zone level which generates uncertainty in the final result?
At the moment STATFOR only provides OD zone increases so this is what is used in NEVAC at the moment. If the forecast becomes more accurate, then obviously NEVAC would follow suit. In any case, even if the percentage increase at the OD were known, there would still be the need to randomly clone an existing flight. STATFOR must make an assumption of aircraft type when converting % ODZ passenger increases into % ODZ flight increases during their current forecasting process.
Related Questions
- Why can’t we just use the real flights that STATFOR has forecasted on ODs rather than using this random component at the OD zone level which generates uncertainty in the final result?
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