Which poll was considered the most accurate for predicting the presidential election between Gore and Bush for the 2000 election?
Answer The Zogby poll was considered the most accurate in 2000 because he caught the last weekend shift after the DUI information was released by the Democrats on the Thursday before the election. Everybody else stopped polling on Friday. This year the nod is being given to the Rasmussen poll because he is doing a daily “rolling” poll of voters “most likely to vote” in the Presidential election. A daily poll is really expensive if you do a different 1,000 voters each day. I haven’t looked at his methodolgy, but if he is actually interviewing 800-1,000 DIFFERENT voters each day, he will have the most accurate, up-to-date info on the election. However, saying that, I think he is probably doing a small sampling each day, and probably after an entire week goes by, he ends up with an interview population of 1,000 “new” subjects. You have to remember though, you want “those most likely to vote” and an even breakdown of Democrats, Republicans, Independents, rural, city, young old, etc. To do
