What would a Pandemic mean for San Juan County ?
A. Predicting the results of a pandemic is as much art as science. We use past flu outbreaks (like the ones in 1918 and 1957) to guide us. Current thinking suggests that somewhere between 3,500 and 4,500 islanders would become infected. Of those sick, there could be up to 500 deaths, but perhaps 120 fatalities is a more realistic figure. Pandemics typically come in two to three waves of active infection. Each wave would last six to eight weeks and would be repeated after an interim period of little or no disease in the community. All schools, daycares, and public gathering spots will likely be closed for the duration of each wave. During each active phase of the pandemic, upwards of 30% of the workforce is likely to be staying home, either because they are sick, are taking care of someone who is, or are caring for children who are out of school. Because a pandemic will affect communities across the globe, food, fuel, access to mainland healthcare, and other services and supplies we’ve
Predicting the results of a pandemic is as much art as science. We use past flu outbreaks (like the ones in 1918 and 1957) to guide us. Current thinking suggests that somewhere between 3,500 and 4,500 islanders would become infected. Of those sick, there could be up to 500 deaths, but perhaps 120 fatalities is a more realistic figure. Pandemics typically come in two to three waves of active infection. Each wave would last six to eight weeks and would be repeated after an interim period of little or no disease in the community. All schools, daycares, and public gathering spots will likely be closed for the duration of each wave. During each active phase of the pandemic, upwards of 30% of the workforce is likely to be staying home, either because they are sick, are taking care of someone who is, or are caring for children who are out of school. Because a pandemic will affect communities across the globe, food, fuel, access to mainland healthcare, and other services and supplies we’ve com
