What will undecided voters do in Pennsylvania’s Democratic Senate primary?
With 16 percent undecided and 25 percent of the decideds saying they could change their mind, according to the latest Quinnipiac Poll, the race between Sen. Arlen Specter (41 percent) and Rep. Joe Sestak (42 percent) is too close to call. Turnout will be critical. For Senator Specter, the ideal scenario is high turnout in Philadelphia and low turnout statewide. Analysts assume Specter will do better among black voters, who are concentrated in Philadelphia – Democratic Gov. Ed Rendell’s home base. (Governor Rendell and President Obama are firmly behind Specter.) Statewide, though, low turnout means undecided and marginal voters are staying home. Typically, voters who are still undecided this late in a campaign go against the incumbent. 3. Should top Senate Republican Mitch McConnell take it personally that his chosen candidate is likely to lose the Kentucky GOP Senate primary? The polls show political novice – and “tea party” movement favorite – Rand Paul is ahead of state Secretary of
