What is you favorite single stat to predict future outcomes?
– James For pitchers I’d probably look at component ERA (a Bill James creation you can find in ESPN’s stat pages). For hitters I’d probably opt for OPS, even though it’s not a 5×5 category. High OPS players are usually fantasy studs. How will the lineup situation shake out for the Nationals? They’ve got too many players in Dmitri Young, Nick Johnson, Wily Mo Pena, Austin Kearns, and Lastings Milledge. – Jason I talked to the Washington Post’s Barry Svrluga recently about this situation. He sees 150 games for Kearns in right field, with Milledge and Pena as the other starters. Dukes seems the odd man out here, as he should be. Pena, Kearns, and Milledge all make great fantasy sleepers. Milledge has a shot at a 20/20 season, but he’s not being drafted in many 12-team mixed leagues. Svrluga also believes Johnson will be traded if healthy. Young is ahead of him on the depth chart, according to Nats GM Jim Bowden. I would probably stay away from both in a mixed league, and lean toward Young
