What is Time Series Forecasting?
Time series forecasting methods produce forecasts based solely on historical values. Time series forecasting methods are widely used in business situations where forecasts of a year or less are required. The time series techniques used in ezForecaster are particularly suited to Sales, Marketing, Finance, and Production planning. Time series methods have the advantage of relative simplicity, but certain factors need to be considered: Time series methods are better suited to short-term forecasts (i.e., less than a year). Time series forecasting relies on sufficient past data being available and that the data is of a high quality and truly representative. Time series methods are best suited to relatively stable situations. Where substantial fluctuations are common and underlying conditions are subject to extreme change, then time series methods may give relatively poor results. Classically, researchers approach the problem of modeling a time series by identifying four kinds of change. The
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