What is the probability of winning any given hand in blackjack?
Under Atlantic City rules the probability of a net win is 43.31%, a tie is 8.80%, and a loss is 47.89%. For more information visit my blackjack appendix 4. What do you think of the idea of mimicking the dealer in blackjack? If I follow the same dealer strategy of hitting to 17 I should have the advantage because the player gets paid 3-2 odds on a blackjack and the dealer only wins even money. This seems so obvious, I can’t believe all the blackjack experts have overlooked it. You seem to be forgetting that if both you and the dealer bust then YOU lose. The mimic the dealer strategy results in a house edge of 5.48%, according to my calculations.
