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What is the likelihood that avian influenza will jump the Atlantic to North America?

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What is the likelihood that avian influenza will jump the Atlantic to North America?

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Migration routes tend to be north-south, so there is not a lot of bird traffic from Europe and Asia to North America. The greatest risk of H5N1 spreading from Asia to Canada is through human activity: travel, illegal transportation of infected birds and movement of poultry products. West Nile virus, for example, is believed to have come to North America in ducks imported from Israel. However, there is virtually no legal importation of poultry from Asia or Europe. Dr. Éva Nagy, a virologist at the Ontario Veterinary College in Guelph, Ont., said the risk of avian influenza comes from individual travellers, not poultry or migratory birds, and it is essential that travellers who come into contact with poultry abroad stay away from Canadian farms for at least two weeks. “When you return to Canada and fill out a customs form, it’s really important to tell the truth when answering the question about visiting a farm,” she said.

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