What if enrollment growth predictions are not accurate?
Since 1998, the Indiana Business Research Center (IBRC), an arm of Indiana University’s Kelly School Business, has been providing demographic projections of future enrollments for us. The original 1998 predictions have been updated and extended every two to three years. Overall, the IBRC’s projections have been extremely accurate. The latest projections, delivered in April, 2006, indicate that we will exceed our high school’s current student capacity by no later than 2010-2011, and perhaps as soon as 2009. Many unknown factors have the potential to affect the accuracy of the projections: Foremost, should Union Township housing development expand rapidly, the IBRC projections would be rendered inaccurate. Secondly, general or housing economic downturn could impact growth projected for Eagle Township such that the expected enrollment increases do not manifest. Of course we will continue to monitor these data, but one can readily see that the ill effects of over or under building school s
