What Does The Recent UT Poll Tell Us About The Governors Race?
On first blush (reading the headline) TCR thought the recent UT Governor Poll on Texas politics showed a significant shift to undecided in the forthcoming primary battle between Gov. Rick Perry and Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison. But after delving deeply into the poll, its methodology (internet) failure to test crossover appeal and other results obtained and the error factor of +/-5.7% causes TCR to concludes the poll has little meaning. The poll had Kay at 37, Rick at 29. An earlier poll had Kay up 25 points, and if you use the error factor to Kay’s advantage, she is up 19.4 points. On the important job approval ratings, Perry is under the telltale 50% with 39% approval. The election in the primary is a year away and no serious campaigning is taking place except among major GOP funders where Sen. Hutchinson continues to do well. Sources in her campaign report they expect to be at $15 million in the bank at the June reporting date and that the recent Dallas fundraiser cleared a cool million
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