What Does the Generic Republican v. Democrat Ballot Say About Election 2010?
Presidential approval itself depends on other factors, particularly the economy. Blumenthal notes, “When the economy’s bad, presidential approval is low, and the ‘out’ parties tend to do better. Those things are all related.” With Obama’s approval rating in the mid-40s and unemployment nearing ten percent, these figures point to a good election year for Republicans. Even with many indicators pointing in the same direction, prognosticating remains an uncertain science.
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