What are the primary complexities about the Indian climate?
There are so many complexities that are involved — topography, the influence of the ocean. India is locked from north and south by the Himalayas and the ocean. The Himalayas have a non linear topography and the monsoon system that is formed is very tricky, it is not a very simple, its relationship with ocean dynamics is very difficult. We don’t know how the Indian Ocean is behaving, we have more information available about the Atlantic Ocean. They have more data, more research, more modeling, observation — so there is plenty of data about the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans. I am not saying that people are not working on the Indian monsoon. In India and abroad people are working on it but as far as our monsoon meteorology is concerned, it is said God has given us a little problem — it is called predictability. For example, you can better predict the Australian or African monsoon but when it come to India — the signal to noise ratio is very small — that is, basically you are trying to
