Shouldn the public be concerned with the study done for the White House that said “several tens of thousands of latent cancer fatalities worldwide” could result from a Cassini flyby accident?
The statement attributed to the Interagency Nuclear Safety Review Panel’s SER for the Cassini mission is taken out of context. The several tens of thousands of potential cancer fatalities relate to a hypothetical assumption of a complete burnup of the Cassini space vehicle and RTGs upon atmospheric reentry. The main point being made by this hypothetical case was to illustrate that while a linear non-threshold model can predict a large number of latent cancer fatalities, the average 50-year dose delivered to any individual would likely be on the order of 1 millirem (mrem). To place this hypothetical 50-year dose level in the proper perspective, it is equal to the average daily dose received by any individual from exposure to background natural and manmade sources of radiation. Based on the linear non-threshold dose response hypothesis, the average individual would be eighteen thousand (18,000) times more likely to contract a fatal cancer in 50 years from exposure to normal background le
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