Once an “Obvious Game” emerges, does that emergence somehow alter the outcome of the game?
If there WAS a connection, that would imply a tipping point where too many people were rooting for the same thing, so they swayed the outcome with their collective bad luck like 50,000 Earl Hickeys combining into Super Earl. That seems a little farfetched, although I’m not ruling it out. A more realistic answer could be found in the psychology used by 1-900 gambling experts, the ones who brag about unsubstantiated records (“I’m 47-5 against the spread this season!”) and “guarantee” winners every week. You know why they do it? Because gambling addicts love the concept of a sure thing, even if it’s probably a pipe dream. So seedy experts play up crap like “This is my Monday night lock of the year!” because that’s the stuff people want to hear. If you have a gambling problem, you don’t want to concede that anything can happen in any given game. You want to believe in sure things. You want to believe there’s an answer to the gambling puzzle. You want to believe you can make money every wee
