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OK, 15 points less than me; that must mean you think North Carolina is going for McCain; plausible, but do you really think he can overcome the strong early voter turnout?

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OK, 15 points less than me; that must mean you think North Carolina is going for McCain; plausible, but do you really think he can overcome the strong early voter turnout?

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) To an average voter, making a presidential choice is like being transported onto the bridge of an extraordinarily complicated alien spacecraft, with two big buttons on the console. Voters hit the red button, cautiously observe, and if things go well, they hit the red button again. If things get worse they switch to the blue button. That’s not the most sophisticated way to pilot a spacecraft (or run a nation), but to a first approximation it works. Right now the spacecraft is careening out of control, and voters are keen to switch to the blue button. Below are charts of presidential approval ratings and satisfaction with the direction the country is going. Actually the charts are a little out of date; the latest poll has the presidents’ approval rating down to 23% and the “right direction” down to an astoundingly low 7%. As these numbers go down, things look worse for McCain. (You can also track an informal approval rating on Amazon.com: Obama’s book Dreams from My Father sells used f

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) To an average voter, making a presidential choice is like being transported onto the bridge of an extraordinarily complicated alien spacecraft, with two big buttons on the console. Voters hit the red button, cautiously observe, and if things go well, they hit the red button again. If things get worse they switch to the blue button. That’s not the most sophisticated way to pilot a spacecraft (or run a nation), but to a first approximation it works. Right now the spacecraft is careening out of control, and voters are keen to switch to the blue button. Below are charts of presidential approval ratings and satisfaction with the direction the country is going. Actually the charts are a little out of date; the latest poll has the presidents’ approval rating down to 23% and the “right direction” down to an astoundingly low 7%. As these numbers go down, things look worse for McCain. (You can also track an informal approval rating on Amazon.com: Obama’s book Dreams from My Father sells used f

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