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Notice that if Kansas plays only teams just like itself, it also wins 50% of its games. Okay, that part was obvious, wasn it?

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Notice that if Kansas plays only teams just like itself, it also wins 50% of its games. Okay, that part was obvious, wasn it?

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Now let’s have a team just like Florida play an entire schedule of “Kansas” teams. Again, because we defined “team just like Florida” this way, it would win 90% of its games against the Kansases of this world. That’s pretty straightforward, right? Now here’s the interesting part. What if that “team just like Florida” plays that schedule we started with? Well, when it plays Florida, it splits that game because it’s the same strength team. When it plays Kansas, it wins 90%. And when it plays Buffalo, it wins just about all of them. Yet even if it wins every Buffalo game, the team still wins only 80% of all of these games over time (50% plus 90% plus 100%, all divided by 3, is 80%). The net result is that the diverse schedule we started with, while averaging out to .500, is much tougher for Florida to play than the schedule of Kansases (which also averages out to .500). Yet Kansas shouldn’t care which schedule it plays. And on the bottom end, in case you’re wondering, Buffalo’s win-loss r

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