How will recovery of the ozone layer be detected? When is the ozone layer expected to recover?
How will recovery of the ozone layer be detected? Scientists expect to detect the recovery of the ozone layer with careful comparisons of the latest ozone measurements with past values. Changes in total overhead ozone at various locations and in the extent and severity of the Antarctic “ozone hole” will be important factors in gauging ozone recovery. Natural variations in ozone amounts will limit how soon recovery can be detected with future ozone measurements. When is the ozone layer expected to recover? The ozone layer is expected to recover by the middle of the 21st century, assuming global compliance with the Montreal Protocol. Chlorine- and bromine-containing gases that cause ozone depletion will decrease in the coming decades under the provisions of the Protocol. However, volcanic eruptions in the next decades could delay ozone recovery by several years and the influence of climate change could accelerate or delay ozone recovery. HEALTH EFFECTS How do we balance the good and bad