How Will Non-Farm Payrolls Impact the US Dollar?
The US dollar has strengthened across the board today ahead of Friday’s non-farm payrolls release. This may befuddle some traders as the greenback’s price action conflicts with the higher jobless claims report and the deterioration in the employment component of manufacturing ISM. According to our non-farm payrolls preview, job growth should decline for the fourth consecutive month. The market is currently expecting non-farm payrolls to fall by 78k and for the US unemployment rate to rise to highest level in 3 years. There is even a possibility that job losses could hit -100k. Over the past month, consumer confidence hit a record low and planned layoffs as reported by Challenger Gray and Christmas increased 27.4 percent. Continuing claims are also on the rise as the problems in the US economy escalate. Many people including Warren Buffet will agree that the US economy is already in a recession. During the last 3 recessions, there was a string of job losses that lasted for a minimum of
