How promising is urban modeling as a tool for analyzing the land use impacts of local policymaking?
Improvements in spatial and economic modeling offer promising new policy-making tools. If modeling tools could accurately predict the likely impacts of policy decisions, local officials would have a stronger basis for making decisions that create short-term costs and conflicts. Bottom Line: Models could provide an important source of new information that would influence policy-making. Currently, too little research has been conducted to validate modeling tools. Nonetheless, the heuristic value of these tools in generating discussions about the connections between land use, transportation, economic development, and environmental impacts needs to be recognized. At the same time, poor models can lead to increased conflict and, ultimately, poor decisions. Discussion Models have been developed that are intended to project land use and transportation interactions in order to examine how land use changes may change transportation demand (and how transportation changes may influence land devel
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