How highly correlated is low latency in answering a question (high automaticity) to the probability of forgetting?
There is no correlation between automaticity and the probability of forgetting in the period that follows the measurement. In the terminology of the two variables of long-term memory, automaticity is correlated with retrievability, while probability of forgetting in a given period (assuming the same known retrievability) is correlated with memory stability (also confusingly called memory strength). In simple terms, if you remember something very well, you do not know how fast you are likely to forget it. It depends on the history of previous exposure. For example, in SuperMemo, the automaticity of recall is similar after the fifth and after the tenth repetition. However, memories built in ten repetitions are likely to last far longer. Perhaps even a lifetime. Mathematically speaking, retrievability R(t) corresponds with the probability of retrieval of a memory trace at the time t. Probability of forgetting in the time d will then be R(t)-R(t+d). However, R is the function of memory sta
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