How high is the risk for an outbreak in Europe?
The risk is indeed not exactly predictable, but with the distribution of the tiger mosquitoes throughout Europe and large parts of southern Europe having the necessary, adequate warm climates, it is only a matter of time before the viruses find their way through Europe. Every year hundreds of thousands of people travel to regions at risk and return back to their countries. In the last couple of years, hundreds of these travelers brought back Chikungunya or Dengue infections with them. It is now only a matter of time until the tiger mosquito will bite an infected person and be able to transmit it to other individuals. Above all, Chikungunya will be transmitted especially well by tiger mosquitoes.