How have people applied the principle of probability to electoral methods?
Lots of ways. In particular, Borda is often advocated as a probabilistic method. For every pair of candidates X and Y, we can suspect that the better X is than Y, the more people will see this and in fact rank X over Y. Borda, therefore attempts to sum these numbers to get a most likely winner. Borda has, however, been criticized on the basis that it assumes that these pairwise decisions are made independently in order to sum them. Condorcet methods are also argued for on this basis. If one decides that a pairwise majority decision is more likely to be right than wrong, then a candidate that receives a majority over all others can be thought to be the most probable best candidate. Top Condorcet.org This work is distributed AS IS. It is up to you to determine if it is useful and safe. In particular, NO WARRANTY is expressed or implied. I permanently give everyone the rights to use, modify, copy, distribute, re-distribute, and perform this work, and all derived works, to the extent that
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