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How far is AI from reaching human-level intelligence? When will it happen?

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How far is AI from reaching human-level intelligence? When will it happen?

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A10. A few people think that human-level intelligence can be achieved by writing large numbers of programs of the kind people are now writing and assembling vast knowledge bases of facts in the languages now used for expressing knowledge. However, most AI researchers believe that new fundamental ideas are required, and therefore it cannot be predicted when human level intelligence will be achieved.

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