How do I figure probability of bible prophecy being fulfilled?
In order to answer the question, you have to define the random experiment involved here. My knowledge of bible prophesies is null for all practical effects but i take it the prophesy was made before the historical event in question. In that case, the random experiment would be to verify whether the historical Jesus of Nazareth was betrayed for 30 pieces of silver before being crucified. According to the Kologorov axioms of Probability: By definition, random experiments have to be repeatable an indefinite number of times, under the same circumstances. And since a historical event is not repeatable under the same circumstances, it cannot be considered a random experiment. Therefore, the point in question is not a random phenomenon, does not have an associated sample space, and no probabilities can be calculated regarding this question. According to the Laplace definition of Probability: The probability of an event is defined as the quotient of the number of times it has been verified div