How crazy is the Iranian government?
The sad truth is that the Iranian government is not crazy at all. First, they view it as their right to obtain nuclear weapons as an emerging power and are rightfully upset by the fact that other countries are impinging on their sovereign rights as a nation. And in all honesty, it must be admitted that the United States is doing exactly that. Second, they know that any military operation against them can only delay their nuclear program and not destroy it completely. Only an invasion would be able to do that and America is in no place to be doing that right now. Militarily, the army is bogged down in Iraq and politically, the Bush administration doesn’t have the political capital. Third, they know that Europe and America would be hard pressed to cut off the Iranian oil supply because their citizens would not stand for exceedingly higher gasoline prices. That being said, the Iranians know that they can probably get away with what they are doing, especially with Russia and China willing