How Crappy Were the Exit Polls?
Pretty crappy! They certainly didn’t capture the 10 point Clinton win. [Looks like 9.2 to me–ed Print the legend!] According to National Review, the early exits even had Obama up by five. Maybe nobody believed that–but the exits still distorted the narrative of election night. The theme of the first New York Times story seemed to be Mrs. Clinton faces major challenges going forward … The cable nets, primed by the exits, also spent the initial evening hours asking whether Hillary could or would go on–as opposed to why Obama had suffered an embarrassing drubbing that revealed real weaknesses. …. P.S.: Always trust content from kausfiles! … P.P.S.: Brendan Loy has more on the crappy exits. … P.P.P.S.: If the exit polls are this unreliable for press’ result-predicting purposes, why aren’t they also unreliable for all the scholarly purposes they are supposedly put to? Garbage is garbage, no? … Update: John Tabin says not to worry, pollsters can “clean up the exit poll data by w
