How can information from the avian influenza market be used? Specifically, how can the predictions of the avian influenza market be used in public health planning and preparedness?
The avian flu market does not replace existing influenza surveillance systems nor does it eliminate the need for improvements to the existing systems. The prediction market serves as a supplemental tool to aggregate expert opinions based on existing surveillance information. Thus, an avian prediction market could act as an international avian influenza “barometer.” The probabilities generated by the market could help policymakers and public health officials coordinate resources, facilitate new pandemic vaccine production, increase stockpiles of antiviral medications, and plan for the allocation of personnel and resources.
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