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How accurate is the fire spread probability model (FSPro)?

April 26, 2017accurate fspro model probability spread

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How accurate is the fire spread probability model (FSPro)?

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As with any probability-based model, the results depend on the quality of data input and how closely the actual conditions match the model conditions. For 20 FSPro runs from the 2007 fire season, 85% were accurate. The biggest factor influencing the accuracy of FSPro analyses is the accuracy of the modifications made to the landscape to adjust for fuels treatments, past fires, and other disturbances to the vegetation. ———– Last updated on 6/14/2010 7:00:24 PM.

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As with any probability-based model, the results depend on the quality of data input and how closely the actual conditions match the model conditions. For 20 FSPro runs from the 2007 fire season, 85% were accurate. The biggest factor influencing the accuracy of FSPro analyses is the accuracy of the modifications made to the landscape to adjust for fuels treatments, past fires, and other disturbances to the vegetation. ———– Last updated on 11/8/2010 12:34:57 PM.