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Has anyone figured out the odds of success of a spell cast with penetration P that has found a target of magic resistance R ?

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Has anyone figured out the odds of success of a spell cast with penetration P that has found a target of magic resistance R ?

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It’s (10 + P + 2D6oe) vs (R + magic bonus + 2D6oe). 2D6oe = two six-sided dice, open-ended. P = attacker’s penetration, includes bonuses from items + (extra magic skill / 2) R = defender’s MR, includes bonuses from items or spells like Iron Will. Magic bonus: you get half your magic score rounded down as an MR boost towards spells of the same path, eg, a nature mage will resist Charm better, an astral mage will resist Soul Slay better, etc.

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