Go Top What is the outcome in the Tough Choices scenario?
Economic growth outstrips population growth in some regions, and donor aid is accompanied by significant levels of foreign direct investment from other African countries. There continues to be a high number of deaths in the Tough choices scenariothough the rate begins to fall by 2015, reflecting the fact that prevention measures take time to work through the system. Initiatives in support of children orphaned by AIDS are increased rapidly in the years to 2010 and then keep pace with population growth. Nonetheless, the number of children orphaned by AIDS almost doubles over the course of the scenario. Overall, however, the foundations are laid for a future that is no longer blighted by AIDS. Population growth means that, even with considerable efforts in prevention, the number of people living with HIV and AIDS will continue to grow, but by 2025 numbers will fall to levels similar to what they are today and continue to fall as long-term investments in social, economic, and human capital
