Does blood pressure reduction alone explain the preventive effect of the drugs?
Blood pressure difference trials Figure 2 shows the relative risk estimates of CHD events and stroke in the blood pressure difference trials, standardised to a blood pressure reduction of 10 mm Hg systolic and 5 mm Hg diastolic, together with the corresponding relative risk estimates derived from the meta-analysis of cohort studies (Prospective Studies Collaboration analysis25), in the age group 60-69 years, the average age at the time of a cardiovascular event in the trials (table 1). The estimates from the trials meta-analysis were a 22% (95% confidence interval 17% to 27%) reduction in CHD events (relative risk 0.78) and a 41% (33% to 48%) reduction in stroke (relative risk 0.59). The cohort study meta-analysis showed a 25% decrease in CHD events (relative risk 0.75) and a 36% decrease in stroke (relative risk 0.64) for the same blood pressure difference of 10 mm Hg systolic, or 5 mm Hg diastolic (results from other cohort study meta-analyses were similar26 27). Thus the reductions