Does an active June-July mean that the rest of the season is likely to be more active?
In general, June-July activity does not correlate very well with the rest of the season’s activity. However, if storms form in the deep tropics (i.e., south of the Tropic of Cancer – 23.5N – and east of the Leeward and Windward Islands) during June and July, this, in general, means that the season is going to be very active.