Do we need separate risk stratification models for hospital mortality after heart valve surgery?
GROUND: The EuroSCORE (European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation) is often used to benchmark and predict hospital mortality after cardiac surgery. Based mainly upon coronary surgery patients, EuroSCORE may not be optimal for valve surgery patients. We evaluated the New York (NY) State dedicated valve surgery models and compared their performance to the EuroSCORE model. METHODS: Required model variables were collected prospectively for all patients, followed by calculation of predictive mortality rates using the logistic and additive EuroSCORE, the logistic and additive NY State models for valve surgery without concomitant coronary surgery (isolated valve surgery) and the logistic and additive NY State models for combined valve and coronary surgery. RESULTS: Observed mortality was 2.8% (25 of 904) for isolated valve surgery and 6.8% (27 of 395) for valve plus coronary surgery. Logistic NY State and EuroSCORE expected mortality for isolated valve surgery was respectively 3.0%
