Do the Exit Polls Indicate Voter Fraud?
• Where Did Bush’s Gains Come From? • Solving the Paradox of 2004 Do the Exit Polls Indicate Voter Fraud? There are two lines of analysis that are typically used to justify the claim that the 2004 election result was somehow stolen by the GOP. The first is various bits and pieces of “evidence”” – the precincts in Cuyahoga County, Ohio, with more votes than registered voters; the counties in Florida (Baker, Holmes) with huge Bush margins but big Democratic registration advantages, and so on – that supposedly indicate vote tampering. I find this evidence profoundly unconvincing and think Farhad Manjoo and others have it basically right: there’s not a lot of there there. Vote tampering does not appear to have happened on the scale necessary to affect this election. The second line of analysis invokes the now-infamous early releases of the National Election Pool (NEP) exit poll data, which showed Kerry with a three-point national lead, solidly ahead in Ohio and also leading in Iowa, Nevada
Related Questions
- Can a challenger or an election inspector challenge a voter just because he or she does not have picture identification or did not bring it to the polls and signs an affidavit?
- Don polls indicate that Puerto Ricans do not consider themselves Americans and therefore a vote for statehood should be disregarded or require a super-majority for approval?
- How, then, do the exit polls indicate fraud?
