Did the Fire Grant Program Produce Structural Changes in Fire Death and Injury Trends?
Karen A. Campbell, Ph.D. While the long-term trend in firefighter death, firefighter injury, and residential fire death rates presented in Charts 1-3 has been downward, the implementation of the fire grant program may have caused shifts in these trends, indicating a policy impact. To identify any statistically significant shifts in the trends that may not be obvious from the graph, formal structural break tests were performed on the three time series. The results lend empirical support to the hypotheses that: • Fire grant funding did not decrease the trend reductions in these injury and death rates and • The factors driving these rates down had their largest impacts in the previous decade, and additional policy interventions will likely produce only small marginal benefits in terms of lower injury and death rates. Two tests were used to check for structural breaks in the data series. Both tests rely on fitting linear trends in order to minimize the sum of squared residuals. In each of
Related Questions
- If we opt to make structural changes in providing program accessibility, are we required to follow a particular design standard in making those changes?
- How is the programmed cell death different from cell death as a result of injury or disease?
- Did the Fire Grant Program Produce Structural Changes in Fire Death and Injury Trends?
