Compared with previous presidential election, what are the main characteristics of this years poll trend?
John Zogby:”Compared with previous presidential elections this is a more typical election that revolves around centrist voters, compared to 2004 which was much more hyper-partisan with a very small percentage of undecideds who remained undecided until the last minute. This election will be fought in the middle as is normal. We’re also looking at heightened turnout from African Americans, Hispanics, and young voters.” Based on the polls on candidates and election-related issues so far, can you tell us who has better chance to win in November? What would be the major factors (or voter groups) affecting the ultimate outcome? John Zogby:”In this instance, polls don’t predict, they are like taking a photograph. As we do more and more photographs it becomes a moving picture, and we might suggest where the trend is leading. But with the rise of so many independent voters, we have many more last-minute deciders, many of whom make their final decision on Election Day. My hunch is that this elec
