Can we produce enough grain to ensure national food security?
The model projects cereal production in 2025 based on the growth in area under cereal cultivation, irrigated area, irrigation intensity, and yields per hectare for both irrigated and rainfed crops. The model calculates projections of average yield, gross irrigated yield, gross rainfed yield, and total production from irrigated and rainfed areas. Cereal Production in India in 2025 In the base scenario for India, the area under cultivation is assumed to increase slightly. Around 16 million addition hectares are irrigated, with small increases in irrigation intensity, irrigated yield and rainfed yield. Based on these assumptions, India is able to produce a total of 257 million tons of grain12 million tons short of the demand estimated in step 1. What are the alternatives for making up the shortfall, besides importing more grain? According to PODIUM, it is possible to achieve national food security by increasing: rainfed yield from 1.2 tons/ha to 1.6 tons/ha irrigated yield from 2.3 tons/h
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