Can Mexico weather its next election cycle?
Author InfoDavid M. Gould Abstract In this presentation I first review Mexico’s economic performance since the 1994-95 peso crisis. Second, I examine vulnerability indicators for Mexico and compare Mexico’s current economic situation, 12 months before its next presidential election, to the same period before previous election periods. Next, I assess the likelihood of a crisis over the coming year given political and economic changes that have occurred during the last five years. Finally, I provide an economic outlook for Mexico through the year 2000. The bottom line of the presentation is that developments in Mexico since 1995, especially the adoption of a flexible exchange rate regime and better debt management, make economic turbulence in 2000 less likely than in the past. Download InfoTo download: If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. Information about this may be contained in the File-Format links below. In case of
