Aren’t these exercises futile early in the election season when the party’s are focused on the primary instead of messaging?
No. Likewise, I don’t think the score should remain hidden from spectators for the first half of a football game. In fact, the ebbs and flows over time—particularly with respect to events and media coverage—are fascinating. For example, Giuliani’s fall from grace in the polls after LoverGate, and in the absence of any showing in IA and NH was nothing short of stunning. That sort of thing is at least as interesting as any attempts to predict a final outcome.
Related Questions
- Aren’t these exercises futile early in the election season when the party’s are focused on the primary instead of messaging?
- Does California use primary election or party caucuses to select delegates to the Presidential nominating convention?
- Why is a primary election better than a party caucus for selecting candidates?
