What is an edicated guess?
If I’m driving down the road and see purple flashing lights I might guess that aliens are comming to abduct me because I have no information about what purple flasing lights mean. If I see blue flashing lights I make an educated guess that the police are behind me since I have information that most police use blue flashing lights on their cars. If I see red flashing lights and and big letters that spell AMBULANCE then I don’t have to guess, I know that it isn’t aliens and it isn’t the police its and abmulance and but I might make an educated guess that it is on the way to the hospital since it is driving on the road that goes by the hospital and it has its lights on.