What are the forecasts based on?
The forecasts are based on a combination of current and historic data in environmental conditions in the Bay. By examining the relationships between past environmental conditions and their causes, and by applying recent data to those relationships, researchers are able to determine the conditions that will likely appear in coming months. For example, to develop the 2005 dissolved oxygen and harmful algal bloom forecast, researchers reviewed more than 20 years of relevant data and compared it with the recent weather conditions, current nutrient levels and current river flow rates.